Monday, November 27, 2017

Foreign Policy Initiatives and Engagement.

As this year approaches its conclusion, I figured it was time for a review of US foreign policy initiatives.

In the latest developments on the Iran deal, President Trump chose to decertify the agreement, as opposed to recertifying, as has been the custom every 90 days. This was done because Iran has not lived up to the spirit of the agreement, and he finds that the deal is no longer in US national security interests, as he properly should have.

The Trump administration has set the stage for a review of all terms and conditions of the arrangement. Congress will have the responsibility of voting to reinstate disruptive sanctions, and there may not be enough support in the body to do so. The option also exists to renegotiate the deal, adding in specific "triggers" or standards that must be met, or else sanctions would be reinstated.

Either way, it is clear to me that Iran needs to be brought to its knees.
Why? Not to suggest overkill, but here are some things to look out for:

-IRGC/Quds activity in the region. Support for terror.
-A ban on Uranium enrichment and Plutonium production.
-Taking apart/downgrading large portions of Iran's nuclear infrastructure.
-Anytime/Anywhere inspection capacity, with real-time monitoring of nuclear facilities.
- Ballistic missile technology and military sites, which is not included in this deal.
- Sunset provisions on enrichment.
-"Peaceful" intent.

(What I would like to make clear here is that Iran's capacity to create nuclear weapons  must be curtailed.)

We need to be honest, and sit down with both the Russians and Iranians in this case, to forge a path forward. We need to lean on Moscow to apply pressure to its client state in Tehran. We've been in talks with the Iranians on ISIS, as well. This is of mutual benefit to both nations.

We also need to lean on the Chinese, as well. Why?
Well, first off, we need assistance in curtailing North Korean capacity for nuclear war.
In exchange, hostile exercises on the peninsula would cease, packaged with guarantees of safety provided to Pyongyang. We need peace on the peninsula.

(Vis-a-vis the Chinese, forged alliances in the Indian/Pacific/South China Sea need to be forged, as maritime assets need to be leveraged to provide security for these shipping lanes.)

We also need to have a chat with the Chinese about the future of Pakistan and Afghanistan.
Pakistan has been supporting the Taliban/Al-Qaeda/The Haqqani Network for some time. So has American foreign policy in the past. Essentially, the same groups were fostered by US foreign policy through Pakistani intelligence in decades past. So, now that there appears to be a shift in US foreign policy, some degree of inertia is to be expected here. You can't stop and turn an aircraft carrier in a matter of seconds. It's just not possible nor feasible. This is where the Chinese and the OBOR initiative come into play. By engaging the Chinese, this seems to be a way to provide a reasonable degree of security and stability. As I've stated previously, the Chinese have had their own struggles with terrorism and instability. This would be a good opportunity for the Chinese to get involved.

We have plans for the Arabian Peninsula and Northern Africa, as I've clearly stated.
The Saudis are well aware, and so is the rest of the region.

The US and our allies will operate smoothly, given that all involved are willing to help life go off without a hitch.

Wheeling and dealing requires cooperation with all involved, and if everyone's on the same page, that's exactly what will transpire.

Thanks.

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